Updated on 2024/11/12

写真a

 
HAYAKAWA Hisashi
 
Organization
Institute for Advanced Research Designated assistant professor
Institute for Space-Earth Environmental Research Designated assistant professor
Graduate School
Graduate School of Humanities
Title
Designated assistant professor
Profile
I am researching solar-terrestrial environments, space weather, and environmental history.

Degree 2

  1. PhD (Science) ( 2020.3   Kyoto University ) 

  2. PhD (Letters) ( 2020.3   Osaka University ) 

Research Interests 7

  1. Solar-Terrestrial Environments

  2. Space Weather

  3. Environmental History

  4. Solar Physics

  5. Geomagnetism

  6. History of Science

  7. Oriental History

Research Areas 7

  1. Natural Science / Astronomy  / Solar-Terrestrial Environments

  2. Natural Science / Human geosciences  / Space Weather

  3. Humanities & Social Sciences / Historical studies in general  / Environmental History

  4. Natural Science / Astronomy  / Solar Physics

  5. Natural Science / Human geosciences  / Geomagnetism

  6. Humanities & Social Sciences / Sociology of science, history of science and technology  / History of Science

  7. Humanities & Social Sciences / History of Asia and Africa  / Oriental History

▼display all

Research History 2

  1. Nagoya University   Institute for Advanced Research   Designated assistant professor

    2020.4

  2. Osaka University   Graduate School of Letters   JSPS Research Fellow

    2017.4 - 2020.3

Education 1

  1. Osaka University   Graduate School of Letters

    2017.4 - 2020.3

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    Notes: PhD course

Committee Memberships 4

  1. Journal of Astronomical History and Heritage   Editorial Board  

    2023.2   

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    Committee type:Academic society

  2. Asian Review of Wold Histories   Assistant Editor  

    2022.10 - 2024.8   

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    Committee type:Academic society

  3. Geoscience Data Journal   Guest Editor  

    2021.3 - 2022.1   

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    Committee type:Academic society

  4. History of Geo- and Space Science   Topical Editor  

    2019.9   

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    Committee type:Academic society

Awards 3

  1. Young Scientist Prize of the Minister of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology

    2023.4   Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology  

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    Award type:International academic award (Japan or overseas)  Country:Japan

  2. EPS Young Researcher Award

    2018.5   Earth Planets and Space  

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    Award type:Honored in official journal of a scientific society, scientific journal 

  3. Kyoto University Precident Prize

    2017.3   Kyoto University  

 

Papers 69

  1. Analyses of Johannes Kepler's Sunspot Drawings in 1607: A Revised Scenario for the Solar Cycles in the Early 17th Century Reviewed

    Hayakawa, H; Murata, K; Teague, ETH; Bechet, S; Sôma, M

    ASTROPHYSICAL JOURNAL LETTERS   Vol. 970 ( 2 )   2024.8

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    Authorship:Lead author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Astrophysical Journal Letters  

    Telescopic sunspot observations began in 1610 and captured subsequent solar cycles. In combination with proxy reconstructions on an annual scale, these data sets indicate a gradual transition between regular solar cycles and the Maunder Minimum. The telescopic sunspot observations missed the beginning of the first telescopic solar cycle (Solar Cycle −13), leaving room for considerable uncertainty as to its temporal evolution. Before these early telescopic observations, however, Kepler made solar observations using camerae obscurae and recorded a sunspot group in three solar drawings in 1607. Here, we make use of Kepler’s sunspot drawings and descriptive texts to identify his observational sites and time stamps. We have deprojected his sunspot drawings and compared the reported positions with our calculations of the inclination of the solar equator as seen from these sites at that time. These results locate the reported sunspot group near the solar equator eastward from the central meridian. This contrasts with telescopic sunspot drawings from the 1610s that show sunspot groups in the higher heliographic latitudes. Therefore, what Kepler saw was probably a sunspot group from Solar Cycle −14, rather than one from Solar Cycle −13. These records allow us to place the beginning of Solar Cycle −13 between 1607 and 1610. In comparison with the 14C-based solar-cycle reconstructions, our result supports regular solar-cycle durations around the 1610s, rather than any suggested extreme extensions of the solar-cycle duration(s) around the 1610s.

    DOI: 10.3847/2041-8213/ad57c9

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    Scopus

  2. Revision of the strongest solar energetic particle event of 23 February 1956 (GLE #5) based on the rediscovered original records Reviewed International coauthorship

    Astronomy & Astrophysics   Vol. 684   page: A46 - A46   2024.3

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    Authorship:Lead author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.1051/0004-6361/202348699

  3. Karl von Lindener's sunspot observations during 1800-1827: Another long-term dataset for the Dalton Minimum Reviewed International coauthorship

    Hayakawa, H; Arlt, R; Iju, T; Besser, BP

    JOURNAL OF SPACE WEATHER AND SPACE CLIMATE   Vol. 13   2023.12

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    Authorship:Lead author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate  

    On a centennial timescale, solar activity oscillates quasi-periodically and also tends to occasionally get into a low-activity period. The Dalton Minimum (circa 1790s- 1820s) was one of such low-activity periods that had been captured in telescopic sunspot observations. However, it has been challenging to analyse the Dalton Minimum, as contemporary source records remained mostly unpublished and almost inaccessible to the scientific community. Recent studies have established reliable datasets for sunspot group number, sunspot number, and sunspot positions. This study further analyzes independent Silesian sunspot observations from 1800 to 1827 in a manuscript from the Library of Wrocław University (Ms AKC.1985/15) and complements it with the metadata for the observer: Karl Christian Reinhold von Lindener. We identified 547 days of sunspot observations in these records and derived the sunspot group number, individual sunspot number, and sunspot positions between 1800 and 1827. The results of this study have significantly revised von Lindenera's sunspot group number, which was previously known for only 517 days in scientific databases, and removed contamination from general descriptions. Using our results, we extended investigations into individual sunspot counts and derived their positions. In our analysis, we locate von Lindenera's sunspot positions in both solar hemispheres and contrast the Dalton Minimum with the Maunder Minimum, adding further independent credits to the previous results for Derfflingera's and Prantnera's datasets. Sunspot positions are also slightly biased towards the northern solar hemisphere in early Solar Cycle 6 (1812- 1813). The high-latitude sunspot positions indicate the onset of Solar Cycle 7 as early as June 1822.

    DOI: 10.1051/swsc/2023023

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  4. The Extreme Space Weather Event of 1872 February: Sunspots, Magnetic Disturbance, and Auroral Displays Reviewed International coauthorship

    Hayakawa, H; Cliver, EW; Clette, F; Ebihara, Y; Toriumi, S; Ermolli, I; Chatzistergos, T; Hattori, K; Knipp, DJ; Blake, SP; Cauzzi, G; Reardon, K; Bourdin, PA; Just, D; Vokhmyanin, M; Matsumoto, K; Miyoshi, Y; Ribeiro, JR; Correia, AP; Willis, DM; Wild, MN; Silverman, SM

    ASTROPHYSICAL JOURNAL   Vol. 959 ( 1 )   2023.12

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    Authorship:Lead author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Astrophysical Journal  

    We review observations of solar activity, geomagnetic variation, and auroral visibility for the extreme geomagnetic storm on 1872 February 4. The extreme storm (referred to here as the Chapman-Silverman storm) apparently originated from a complex active region of moderate area (≈ 500 μsh) that was favorably situated near disk center (S19° E05°). There is circumstantial evidence for an eruption from this region at 9-10 UT on 1872 February 3, based on the location, complexity, and evolution of the region, and on reports of prominence activations, which yields a plausible transit time of ≈29 hr to Earth. Magnetograms show that the storm began with a sudden commencement at ≈14:27 UT and allow a minimum Dst estimate of ≤ −834 nT. Overhead aurorae were credibly reported at Jacobabad (British India) and Shanghai (China), both at 19.°9 in magnetic latitude (MLAT) and 24.°2 in invariant latitude (ILAT). Auroral visibility was reported from 13 locations with MLAT below ∣20∣° for the 1872 storm (ranging from ∣10.°0∣-∣19.°9∣ MLAT) versus one each for the 1859 storm (∣17.°3∣ MLAT) and the 1921 storm (∣16.°2∣ MLAT). The auroral extension and conservative storm intensity indicate a magnetic storm of comparable strength to the extreme storms of 1859 September (25.°1 ± 0.°5 ILAT and −949 ± 31 nT) and 1921 May (27.°1 ILAT and −907 ± 132 nT), which places the 1872 storm among the three largest magnetic storms yet observed.

    DOI: 10.3847/1538-4357/acc6cc

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  5. Magnitude Estimates for the Carrington Flare in 1859 September: As Seen from the Original Records Reviewed International coauthorship

    Hayakawa, H; Bechet, S; Clette, F; Hudson, HS; Maehara, H; Namekata, K; Notsu, Y

    ASTROPHYSICAL JOURNAL LETTERS   Vol. 954 ( 1 )   2023.9

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    Authorship:Lead author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Astrophysical Journal Letters  

    The Carrington flare in 1859 September is a benchmark, as the earliest reported solar flare and as an event with one of the greatest terrestrial impacts. To date, no rigorous estimate of the energy of this flare has been made on the basis of the only direct observation available, its white-light emission. Here, we exploit the historical observations to obtain a magnitude estimate and express it in terms of its GOES soft X-ray class. From Carrington’s original drawings, we estimated the area of the white-light flaring region to be 116 ± 25 msh. Carrington’s account allows us to estimate the flare blackbody brightness temperature as ≈8800-10,900 K, given the most plausible interpretation of the reported flare brightness. This leads to an unprecedented class estimate of ≈X80 (X46-X126), on the modern revised GOES scale (a factor 1.43 higher than the traditional one). This substantially exceeds earlier estimates but is based on an explicit interpretation of Carrington’s description. We also describe an alternative but less plausible estimation of the flare brightness, as adopted previously, to obtain a class estimate of ≈X14 (X9-X19). This now-deprecated scenario gives an estimate similar to that of with those of directly observed modern great flares. Approximations with “equivalent area,” based on the Hinode observations, lead to comparable magnitudes and approve our estimates, though with a larger uncertainty range. We note that our preferred estimate is higher than the currently used value of X64.4 ± 7.2 (revised) based on indirect geomagnetic measurements.

    DOI: 10.3847/2041-8213/acd853

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  6. An Overview of Sunspot Observations in 1727-1748 Reviewed International coauthorship

    Hayakawa Hisashi, Hattori Kentaro, Soma Mitsuru, Iju Tomoya, Besser Bruno P., Kosaka Shunsuke

    ASTROPHYSICAL JOURNAL   Vol. 941 ( 2 ) page: 151 - 151   2022.12

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    Authorship:Lead author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Astrophysical Journal  

    Solar activity generally exhibits cyclic behavior in terms of sunspot group number and sunspot positions every ≈11 yr. These sunspot data have therefore played key roles in numerous analyses of solar-terrestrial physics. However, their reconstructions prior to the 1830s have remained controversial and included significant data gaps, especially from the 1720s to the 1740s. Therefore, this study reviewed contemporary sunspot observations for 1727-1748 to add several forgotten records by Van Coesfelt in 1728-1729, Dûclos in 1736, Martin in 1737, and Cassini and Maraldi in 1748. On the basis of these records, this study revised the sunspot group number and newly derived the sunspot positions in this interval. The results show clearer solar cycles in sunspot group number than those of previous studies and indicate regular solar cycles with limited hemispheric asymmetry over Solar Cycles 0 to −2. The sunspot positions also show sunspot groups mostly at heliographic latitude φ fulfilling ∣φ∣ < 35° in both solar hemispheres, with slight equatorward motions. Furthermore, the solar minima between Solar Cycles −2 and −1 and between Solar Cycles −1 and 0 have been located around 1733.5 ± 0.5 and 1743 ± 0.5, indicating cycle lengths of 11.7 ± 0.5 yr and 10.0 ± 1.0 yr, respectively. Our results provide a chronological missing link between the Maunder Minimum and the regular solar cycles observed since Staudach’s observations from 1749 onward. This lets us better understand the transition of solar activity from the grand minimum to the regular solar cycles.

    DOI: 10.3847/1538-4357/ac6671

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  7. The Variable Earth's Rotation in the 4th-7th Centuries: New Delta T Constraints from Byzantine Eclipse Records Reviewed

    Hayakawa Hisashi, Murata Koji, Soma Mitsuru

    PUBLICATIONS OF THE ASTRONOMICAL SOCIETY OF THE PACIFIC   Vol. 134 ( 1039 ) page: 094401 - 094401   2022.9

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    Authorship:Lead author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Publications of the Astronomical Society of the Pacific  

    As one of the greatest astronomical spectacles, total solar eclipses have long been a subject of scientific interest and have been recorded by numerous civilizations over the millennia. These records are an essential reference for constraining and reconstructing Earth’s variable rotation (ΔT) prior to the 17th century. However, ΔT reconstructions for the 4th-7th centuries have significant uncertainties, mainly owing to a data scarcity. Here, we analyze Byzantine historical sources with reports of total solar eclipses along the Eastern Mediterranean coasts and add probable ΔT constraints on their basis. We examined five cases of total solar eclipses in 346, 418, 484, 601, and 693 CE, identified times and locations of the observations, and compared them with the existing ΔT spline curve to derive new ΔT constraints. Our results probably tighten ΔT variability in 346 CE, show a larger ΔT range in 418 CE, and give smaller ΔT ranges in 484, 601, and 693 CE. Our study tightens the existing ΔT variations and occasionally support some ΔT constraints that slightly depart from the ΔT spline curve in the latest reconstructions. Our results are consistent with contemporary ΔT constraints from other studies and offer an improved understanding of Earth’s variable rotation.

    DOI: 10.1088/1538-3873/ac6b56

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  8. Temporal Variations of the Three Geomagnetic Field Components at Colaba Observatory around the Carrington Storm in 1859 Reviewed International coauthorship

    Hayakawa, H., Nevanlinna, H., Blake, S. P., Ebihara, Y., Bhaskar, A. T., Miyoshi, Y.

    Astrophysical Journal   Vol. 928 ( 32 )   2022.3

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    Authorship:Lead author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.3847/1538-4357/ac2601

    DOI: 10.3847/1538-4357/ac2601

  9. A candidate auroral report in the Bamboo Annals, indicating a possible extreme space weather event in the early 10th century BCE

    van der Sluijs M.A., Hayakawa H.

    Advances in Space Research     2022

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    Publisher:Advances in Space Research  

    Historical auroral reports extend our knowledge of solar eruptions and long-term solar variability in the millennial time scale beyond the chronological coverage of instrumental observations, in the decadal to centennial time scales. Such chronological extensions benefit the scientific community, increasing the number of case studies on extreme space weather events with lower frequency but higher potential impact on modern technological infrastructure. So far, the earliest known datable reports of candidate aurorae have reached back to the 7th century BCE. Beyond this time series, we have analysed a celestial report in the Chinese Bamboo Annals that has attracted little scientific interest, probably owing to the controversial interpretations for the physical identity and the chronology of the event. Our philological analysis establishes its probable auroral nature. The textual description can be compared with early modern accounts of visual auroral observations for the multi-colour aurorae. We have located the observational site around Hàojīng (N34°14′, E108°46′) and dated the event to 977 ± 1 or 957 ± 1 BCE. On this basis, we have computed the equatorward extension of the auroral visibility as ≤39.0° in magnetic latitude and reconstructed the equatorward boundary of the auroral oval as ≤45.5° in invariant latitude. Our investigations empirically associate this candidate aurora with an extreme geomagnetic storm. We have compared this space weather event with proxy-based reconstructions of long-term solar variability and characterised it as a unique space-weather reference before the Neo-Assyrian Grand Minimum (alternatively Homeric Grand Minimum) in ca. 810 – 720 BCE.

    DOI: 10.1016/j.asr.2022.01.010

    Scopus

  10. Stephan Prantner’s Sunspot Observations during the Dalton Minimum Reviewed International coauthorship

    Hayakawa, H., Uneme, S., Besser, B. P., Iju, T., Imada, S.

    The Astrophysical Journal   Vol. 919   page: 1   2021.9

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    Authorship:Lead author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.3847/1538-4357/abee1b

    DOI: 10.3847/1538-4357/abee1b

  11. The Extreme Space Weather Event in 1903 October/November: An Outburst from the Quiet Sun Reviewed International coauthorship

    Hayakawa Hisashi, Ribeiro Paulo, Vaquero Jose M., Cruz Gallego Maria, Knipp Delores J., Mekhaldi Florian, Bhaskar Ankush, Oliveira Denny M., Notsu Yuta, Carrasco Victor M. S., Caccavari Ana, Veenadhari Bhaskara, Mukherjee Shyamoli, Ebihara Yusuke

    ASTROPHYSICAL JOURNAL LETTERS   Vol. 897   page: L10   2020.7

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    Authorship:Lead author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.3847/2041-8213/ab6a18

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  12. Thaddaus Derfflinger's Sunspot Observations during 1802-1824: A Primary Reference to Understand the Dalton Minimum Reviewed International coauthorship

    Hayakawa Hisashi, Besser Bruno P., Iju Tomoya, Arlt Rainer, Uneme Shoma, Imada Shinsuke, Bourdin Philippe-A., Kraml Amand

    ASTROPHYSICAL JOURNAL   Vol. 890   page: 98   2020.2

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    Authorship:Lead author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.3847/1538-4357/ab65c9

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  13. Temporal and Spatial Evolutions of a Large Sunspot Group and Great Auroral Storms around the Carrington Event in 1859 Invited Reviewed International coauthorship

    Hayakawa, H., Ebihara, Y., Willis, D. M., Toriumi, S., Iju, T., Hattori, K., Wild, M. N., Oliveira, D. M., Ermolli, I., Ribeiro, J. R., Correia, A. P., Ribeiro, A. I., Knipp, D. J.

    Space Weather   Vol. 17   page: 1553 - 1569   2019.11

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    Authorship:Lead author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.1029/2019SW002269

    DOI: 10.1029/2019SW002269

  14. Digitization of weather records of <i>Seungjeongwon Ilgi</i>: A historical weather dynamics dataset of the Korean Peninsula in 1623-1910 Reviewed

    Lyu, Z; Ichikawa, K; Cheng, YC; Hayakawa, H; Kawamoto, Y

    GEOSCIENCE DATA JOURNAL   Vol. 11 ( 4 ) page: 504 - 513   2024.10

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    Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Geoscience Data Journal  

    Historical weather records from Europe indicate that the Earth experienced substantial climate variability, which caused, for instance, the Little Ice Age and the global crisis in the period between the 14th and 19th centuries. However, it is still unclear how global this climate variability was because of the scarce meteorological data availability in other regions including East Asia, especially around the 17th century. In this context, Seungjeongwon Ilgi, a daily record of the Royal Secretariat of the Joseon Dynasty of Korea, is a precious source of historical meteorological records for the Korean Peninsula, as it covers 288 years of weather observations made during 1623–1910. We used the digital database of Seungjeongwon Ilgi to construct a machine-readable weather condition dataset. To this end, we extracted valid weather information from the original weather description text and compiled them into pre-defined weather categories. Additionally, we attempted to improve the usability of dataset by converting the reported dates in the traditional calendar system to those in the Gregorian calendar. Finally, we outlined promising implications of this dataset for meteorological and climatological studies, while describing the limitations of the dataset. Overall, future studies focusing on the climate and weather of the past could use this meteorological database for investigating long-term climate variability. Our datasets are publicly available at 10.5281/zenodo.8382243.

    DOI: 10.1002/gdj3.227

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  15. Preface to the special issue on "Old records for new knowledge" Invited Reviewed International coauthorship

    Batlló, J; Hayakawa, H; Slonosky, V; Crouthamel, RI

    GEOSCIENCE DATA JOURNAL   Vol. 11 ( 4 ) page: 357 - 364   2024.10

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    Authorship:Corresponding author   Language:English   Publisher:Geoscience Data Journal  

    DOI: 10.1002/gdj3.243

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  16. On the uncertain intensity estimate of the 1859 Carrington storm Reviewed

    Love, JJ; Rigler, EJ; Hayakawa, H; Mursula, K

    JOURNAL OF SPACE WEATHER AND SPACE CLIMATE   Vol. 14   2024.8

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    Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate  

    A study is made of the intensity of the Carrington magnetic storm of September 1859 as inferred from visual measurements of horizontal-component geomagnetic disturbance made at the Colaba observatory in India. Using data from modern observatories, a lognormal statistical model of storm intensity is developed, to characterize the maximum-negative value of the storm-Time disturbance index (maximum a-Dst) versus geomagnetic disturbance recorded at low-latitude observatories during magnetic storms. With this model and a recently published presentation of the Colaba data, the most likely maximum a-Dst of the Carrington storm and its credibility interval are estimated. A related model is used to examine individual Colaba disturbance values reported for the Carrington storm. Results indicate that only about one in a million storms with maximum a-Dst like the Carrington storm would result in local disturbance greater than that reported from Colaba. This indicates that either the Colaba data were affected by magnetospheric-ionospheric current systems in addition to the ring current, or there might be something wrong with the Colaba data. If the most extreme Colaba disturbance value is included in the analysis, then, of all hypothetical storms generating the hourly average disturbance recorded at Colaba during the Carrington storm, the median maximum a-Dst = 964 nT, with a 68% credibility interval of [855,1087] nT. If the most extreme Colaba disturbance value is excluded from the analysis, then the median maximum a-Dst = 866 nT, with a 68% credibility interval of [768,977] nT. The widths of these intervals indicate that estimates of the occurrence frequency of Carrington-class storms are very uncertain, as are related estimates of risk for modern technological systems.

    DOI: 10.1051/swsc/2024015

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  17. Katsue Misawa's sunspot observations in 1921-1934: a primary reference for the Wolfer-Brunner transition Reviewed

    Hayakawa, H; Suyama, T; Clette, F; Bhattacharya, S; Lefevre, L; Ohnishi, K

    MONTHLY NOTICES OF THE ROYAL ASTRONOMICAL SOCIETY   Vol. 532 ( 4 ) page: 4289 - 4303   2024.8

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    Authorship:Lead author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society  

    Our knowledge of the centennial solar variability is largely based on the time series of international sunspot number (SN), a composite index based on multiple visual sunspot observers’ records from the 18th century onward and maintained by the World Data Center (WDC) ‘Sunspot Index and Long-term Solar Observations’ (SILSO). However, over the period 1919–1944, our capacity to diagnose the homogeneity of this time series is currently limited, because most of the archived source data of the Zürich Observatory were never published over that interval and are presently still missing. Therefore, it is essential to recover any long-duration series from individual sunspot observers active during this period to bridge this Zürich data gap. In this context, Katsue Misawa has conducted regular sunspot observations from 1921 to 1934 (mean coverage of 25.4 days per month), which were not accessible for the Zürich Observatory and thus form a valuable addition to the data base maintained by the WDC–SILSO. In this study, we digitized his observational records, documented his observing technique, and reconstructed his total and hemispheric SNs. We compared his data with the international SN (current version V2) and evaluated their stability. Misawa’s data series generally agrees well with SN V2. However, Misawa’s data show a significant transitory drift in 1925–1928 against the SN V2, when the Zürich pilot observer changed from Alfred Wolfer to William Otto Brunner.

    DOI: 10.1093/mnras/stad2791

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  18. Analyses for graphical records for a total solar eclipse in 1230 May: a possible reference for the 'Medieval Grand Maximum' Reviewed International coauthorship

    Hayakawa, H; Murata, K; Owens, MJ; Lockwood, M

    MONTHLY NOTICES OF THE ROYAL ASTRONOMICAL SOCIETY   Vol. 530 ( 3 ) page: 3150 - 3159   2024.4

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    Authorship:Lead author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publisher:Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society  

    Datable graphical records of total solar eclipses allow us to assess contemporaneous variability of Earth's rotation speed, solar coronal structure, and solar-wind conditions. Such graphical records were studied back to the early 18th century. Here, we examine Matthew Paris' medieval manuscript, an eyewitness account of a total solar eclipse just after local sunrise on 1230 May 14, to analyse his drawings for this eclipse. We philologically identify his observational site as St. Albans and compute local eclipse visibility. To locate St. Albans in the totality path, our analysis requires an accumulative error in time due to the variation in the Earth's rate of rotation, ΔT, in the range 394 s < ΔT < 764 s (loose scenario), slightly revising the latest published ΔT spline curve. The eclipsed Sun sould have been visible after local sunrise if we set the ΔT margins to 394 s < ΔT < 659 s (strict scenario), which requires a further slight modification of the latest ΔT spline curve. Matthew Paris' drawing of the total solar eclipse showed streamer-like structures similar to solar-minimum-type coronal streamers, consistent with the local tilt of the apparent solar equator. This is morphologically consistent with the minimum-type solar coronal streamers predicted from the open solar flux reconstructed from the14C data set. This record potentially demonstrates a similarity in solar cycles between the 'Medieval Grand Maximum' and modern solar cycles. Collectively, historical eclipse records could be used as spot references for Earth's rotation speed, solar coronal dynamics, and background solar dynamo activity on a millennial time-scale.

    DOI: 10.1093/mnras/stad3874

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  19. Digitized Continuous Magnetic Recordings for the August/September 1859 Storms From London, UK Reviewed International coauthorship

    Beggan, CD; Clarke, E; Lawrence, E; Eaton, E; Williamson, J; Matsumoto, K; Hayakawa, H

    SPACE WEATHER-THE INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF RESEARCH AND APPLICATIONS   Vol. 22 ( 3 )   2024.3

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    Authorship:Last author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Space Weather  

    Dedicated scientific measurements of the strength and direction of the Earth's magnetic field began at Greenwich and Kew observatories in London, United Kingdom, in the middle of the nineteenth century. Using advanced techniques for the time, collimated light was focussed onto mirrors mounted on free-swinging magnetized needles which reflected onto photographic paper, allowing continuous analog magnetograms to be recorded. By good fortune, both observatories were in full operation during the so-called Carrington storm in early September 1859 and its precursor storm in late August 1859. Based on digital images of the magnetograms and information from the observatory yearbooks and scientific papers, it is possible to scale the measurements to International System of Units (SI units) and extract quasi-minute cadence spot values. However, due to the magnitude of the storms, the periods of the greatest magnetic field variation were lost as the traces moved off-page. We present the most complete digitized magnetic records to date of the 10-day period from 25 August to 5 September 1859 encompassing the Carrington storm and its lesser recognized precursor on 28 August. We demonstrate the good correlation between observatories and estimate the instantaneous rate of change of the magnetic field.

    DOI: 10.1029/2023SW003807

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  20. An Overview of Sunspot Observations in the Early Maunder Minimum: 1645-1659 Reviewed International coauthorship

    Hayakawa, H; Carrasco, VMS; Aparicio, AJP; Alvarez, JV; Vaquero, JM

    MONTHLY NOTICES OF THE ROYAL ASTRONOMICAL SOCIETY   Vol. 528 ( 4 ) page: 6280 - 6291   2024.2

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    Authorship:Lead author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society  

    Within four centuries of sunspot observations, the Maunder Minimum (MM) in 1645–1715 has been considered a unique grand minimum with weak solar cycles in group numbers of sunspots and hemispheric asymmetry in sunspot positions. However, the early part of the MM (1645–1659) is poorly understood in terms of its source records and has accommodated diverse reconstructions of the contemporaneous group number. This study identified their source records, classidied them in three different categories (datable observations, general descriptions, and misinterpreted records), and revised their data. On this basis, we estimated the yearly mean group number using the brightest star method, derived the active day fraction (ADF), reconstructed the sunspot number based on ADF, and compared them with proxy reconstructions from the tree-ring data sets. Our results revised the solar activity in the early MM downward in yearly mean group numbers using the brightest star method and upward in the active day fraction and sunspot number estimates. Our results are consistent with the proxy reconstruction for 1645–1654 and show more realistic values for 1657–1659 (against the unphysical negative sunspot number). These records have paid little attention to sunspot positions, except for Hevelius’ report on a sunspot group in the northern solar hemisphere in 1652 April. Therefore, slight caveats are required to discuss if the sunspot positions are located purely in the southern solar hemisphere throughout the MM.

    DOI: 10.1093/mnras/stad3922

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  21. Analyses of Equatorward Auroral Extensions during the Extreme Geomagnetic Storm on 15 July 1959 Reviewed International coauthorship

    Hayakawa, H; Ebihara, Y; Pevtsov, AA

    MONTHLY NOTICES OF THE ROYAL ASTRONOMICAL SOCIETY   Vol. 527 ( 3 ) page: 7298 - 7305   2024.1

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    Intense solar eruptions occasionally trigger extreme geomagnetic storms, expand the boundaries of the auroral oval, and facilitate equatorward extensions of the auroral visibility. It is important to analyse such events, to better understand the extremity of space weather and its impact on the technological infrastructure of the modern civilization. However, unlike other extreme geomagnetic storms, little is known about the auroral activity associated with the extreme geomagnetic storm on 15/16 July 1959, the second largest geomagnetic storm in the space age. This study acquired and analysed two Chinese accounts and one Russian account of auroral visibility at low (≤40°) magnetic latitudes (MLATs). These records allowed us to conservatively reconstruct the equatorward boundaries of the auroral visibility and the auroral oval at 27.4° MLAT and 35.4° invariant latitude, respectively. Our analysis chronologically contextualized these auroral records slightly before the peak of the extreme geomagnetic storm. Moreover, their coloration indicates the excitations of, at least, nitrogen at 427.8 nm and oxygen at 557.7 nm at these low MLATs. Our results allow us to contextualize this extreme geomagnetic storm within other extreme events, based on the equatorward boundary of the auroral oval, thereby facilitating the improvement in existing empirical models for correlations of the auroral extension and the storm intensity.

    DOI: 10.1093/mnras/stad3556

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  22. Was the Supernova of 1054 CE Recorded in Constantinople? A Historical and Astronomical Reassessment1 Invited Reviewed

    Murata, K; Hayakawa, H

    DE MEDIO AEVO   Vol. 13 ( 1 ) page: 63 - 75   2024

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    This paper critically reexamines two candidate records of the supernova of 1054 CE (SN 1054) that allegedly came from Constantinople, integrating historical and astronomical analyses. East Asian records documented SN 1054 in detail and formed a basis for astronomical discussions about this supernova. In contrast, few reports of SN 1054 from Western Eurasia (Europe and West Asia) are known. The majority of such alleged reports have been rejected on the basis of philological and astronomical discussions. This study scrutinizes two potential accounts of SN 1054. The first is Ibn Buṭlān’s account, as cited in a later work. The second is a specific class of Byzantine gold coin issued in Constantinople, which may have commemorated SN 1054. Our reanalysis of Ibn Buṭlān’s record questions its connection to Constantinople. We also challenge speculation regarding the Byzantine coin, analysing contemporary historical and numismatic backgrounds. The paper also compares these accounts with the reconstructed SN light curve and modern astronomical calculations to assess the astronomical aspect of these records.

    DOI: 10.5209/dmae.94559

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  23. No signature of extreme solar energetic particle events in high-precision <SUP>14</SUP>C data from the Alaskan tree for 1844-1876 CE Reviewed

    Miyake, F; Hakozaki, M; Hayakawa, H; Nakano, N; Wacker, L

    JOURNAL OF SPACE WEATHER AND SPACE CLIMATE   Vol. 13   2023.12

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    Cosmogenic nuclides - 14C from tree rings and 10Be and 36Cl from ice cores serve as an effective proxy for past extreme solar energetic particle (SEP) events. After identifying the first signature of an extreme SEP event in 774 CE, several candidates have been found in these proxy archives, such as 993 CE, 660 BCE, and 7176 BCE. Their magnitudes have been estimated to be tens of times larger than that of the largest SEP event ever observed since the 1950s. Although a detailed survey of such extreme SEP events is ongoing, the detection of intermediate-sized SEP events that bridge the gap between modern observations and extreme events detected in cosmogenic nuclides has not progressed sufficiently, primarily because of the uncertainties in cosmogenic nuclide data. In this study, we measured 14C concentrations in tree rings in the 19th century (1844- 1876 CE) to search for any increases in 14C concentrations corresponding to intermediate-size extreme SEP events. We utilized Alaskan tree-ring samples cut into early and latewoods to suppress the potential seasonal variations in intra-annual 14C data. Notably, no significant 14C variations were observed between early and latewoods (0.0 ± 0.3°), and the annual resolution 14C data series displayed an error of ~ 0.8°. Over the entire study period, no significant increase in 14C concentrations characterized by other candidates of extreme SEP events such as the 774 CE event was detected in the annual 14C data. The present result imposes a constraint on the SEP fluence when the largest class of recorded solar storms occurred (especially those in 1859 CE and 1872 CE).

    DOI: 10.1051/swsc/2023030

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  24. Extreme Solar Events: Setting up a Paradigm Invited Reviewed

    Usoskin, I; Miyake, F; Baroni, M; Brehm, N; Dalla, S; Hayakawa, H; Hudson, H; Jull, AJT; Knipp, D; Koldobskiy, S; Maehara, H; Mekhaldi, F; Notsu, Y; Poluianov, S; Rozanov, E; Shapiro, A; Spiegl, T; Sukhodolov, T; Uusitalo, J; Wacker, L

    SPACE SCIENCE REVIEWS   Vol. 219 ( 8 )   2023.12

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    The Sun is magnetically active and often produces eruptive events on different energetic and temporal scales. Until recently, the upper limit of such events was unknown and believed to be roughly represented by direct instrumental observations. However, two types of extreme events were discovered recently: extreme solar energetic particle events on the multi-millennial time scale and super-flares on sun-like stars. Both discoveries imply that the Sun might rarely produce events, called extreme solar events (ESE), whose energy could be orders of magnitude greater than anything we have observed during recent decades. During the years following these discoveries, great progress has been achieved in collecting observational evidence, uncovering new events, making statistical analyses, and developing theoretical modelling. The ESE paradigm lives and is being developed. On the other hand, many outstanding questions still remain open and new ones emerge. Here we present an overview of the current state of the art and the forming paradigm of ESE from different points of view: solar physics, stellar–solar projections, cosmogenic-isotope data, modelling, historical data, as well as terrestrial, technological and societal effects of ESEs. Special focus is paid to open questions and further developments. This review is based on the joint work of the International Space Science Institute (ISSI) team #510 (2020–2022).

    DOI: 10.1007/s11214-023-01018-1

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  25. A critical assessment of questionable solar eclipse memories in the Byzantine Empire from the fourth to sixth centuries CE Reviewed

    Murata, K; Hayakawa, H; Soma, M

    JOURNAL FOR THE HISTORY OF ASTRONOMY   Vol. 54 ( 2 ) page: 193 - 212   2023.5

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    This study analysed four records of questionable authenticity of total solar eclipses between the fourth and sixth centuries CE in Byzantine narrative sources. As it has been difficult to evaluate their credibility, they have not been utilised in modern astronomical studies. Three records originated in the fourth century, all of which have problems with accurate dating and provenance. The one remaining record concerns the total solar eclipse on 512 June 29. This study first reveals the problems with and questions around the reliability of all these records from astronomical perspectives based on the latest ΔT spline curve and recently proposed ΔT constraints. It then explores their philological and historical contexts to understand how and why these records were written.

    DOI: 10.1177/00218286231167185

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  26. Sunspot observations at Kawaguchi Science Museum: 1972-2013 Reviewed International coauthorship

    Hayakawa Hisashi, Suzuki Daisuke, Mathieu Sophie, Lefevre Laure, Takuma Hitoshi, Hiei Eijiro

    GEOSCIENCE DATA JOURNAL   Vol. 10 ( 1 ) page: 87 - 98   2023.1

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    Authorship:Lead author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Geoscience Data Journal  

    Individual sunspot observations have formed a ground basis of international sunspot number, a unique reference for long-term solar variability in the centennial timescale. The original datasets were subjected to exploitations and analyses upon the recalibrations of the sunspot number series. In this context, this study reviewed and analysed original sunspot records and their databases in the Kawaguchi Science Museum (KSM) in Japan. KSM hosts sunspot drawings and logbooks from 1972 to 2013. This dataset has a longer chronological coverage than what was known to the scientific community (1981–2010). These records have been digitized and publicized in a museum database, which allows users to access individual sunspot drawings and numerical data in KSM logbooks. These records are highly homogeneous as a single observer's dataset (Hitoshi Takuma), who used a 15-cm refractor at the Kawaguchi Juvenile Museum in 1972–2003 and a 20-cm refractor at KSM in 2003–2013. We also reviewed the Takuma data series, his monthly observation days (21.3 days/month), sunspot number in the whole disk and each hemisphere, and sunspot positions in a butterfly diagram. We also assessed Takuma's data stability in comparison with the international sunspot number and reference datasets of the SILSO. Takuma's data appear stable until 2003, when he changed the observation site and instrument. His data stability was quantitatively compared with the SILSO reference datasets, confirming the substantial long-term stability of the data and establishing its reliability as an alternative reference for sunspot number recalibration.

    DOI: 10.1002/gdj3.158

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  27. Scale Transfer in 1849: Heinrich Schwabe to Rudolf Wolf Reviewed International coauthorship

    Bhattacharya S., Lefevre L., Hayakawa H., Jansen M., Clette F.

    SOLAR PHYSICS   Vol. 298 ( 1 ) page: 12 - 12   2023.1

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    The focus of this study is to reveal the reason behind a scale problem detected around 1849 in the historical version of the International Sunspot Number Series, i.e. version 1 (Leussu et al. in Astron. Astrophys.559, A28, 2013; Friedli in Solar Phys.291, 2505, 2016). From 1826 to 1848 Heinrich Schwabe’s observations were considered primary by Rudolf Wolf, and a shift of primary observer from Schwabe to Wolf in 1849 seems to have led to an inconsistency in the Sunspot Number series. In this study we benefited from various datasets, the most important being Schwabe’s raw counts from the Mittheilungen (Prof. Wolf’s Journals) that have been digitised at the Royal Observatory of Belgium between 2017 and 2019. We provide a robust quantification of the detected problem by using classic algebraic calculations, but also different methods such as a method inspired by Lockwood et al. (J. Geophys. Res.119(7), 5172, 2014), hence assigning a modern k-factor to Schwabe’s observations before 1849. We also assess the implications of this 1849 inconsistency on the International Sunspot Number series (Versions 1 and 2) before and after 1849.

    DOI: 10.1007/s11207-022-02103-4

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  28. A review for Japanese auroral records on the three extreme space weather events around the International Geophysical Year (1957–1958) Reviewed

    Hayakawa Hisashi, Ebihara Yusuke, Hata Hidetoshi

    Geoscience Data Journal   Vol. 10 ( 1 ) page: 142 - 157   2023.1

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    Solar Cycle 19 was probably the greatest solar cycle over the last four centuries and significantly disrupted the solar-terrestrial environments with a number of solar eruptions and resultant geomagnetic storms. At its peak, the International Geophysical Year (IGY: 1957–1958) was organised under international collaborations and benefitted scientific developments, capturing multiple unique extreme space weather events including the third and fourth greatest geomagnetic storms in the space age. In this article, we review and analyse original records of Japanese auroral observations around the IGY. These observations were organised by Masaaki Huruhata in collaboration with professional observatories and citizen contributors. We have digitised and documented these source documents, which comprise significant auroral displays in March 1957 (minimum Dst = −255 nT), September 1957 (minimum Dst = −427 nT), and February 1958 (minimum Dst = −426 nT). These records allow us to visualise temporal and spatial evolutions of these auroral displays, reconstruct their equatorward auroral boundaries down to 41.5°, 38.3°, and 33.3° in invariant latitudes, and contextualise their occurrences following contemporary geomagnetic disturbances. Our results have been compared with significant auroral displays during other extreme space weather events. These aurorae generally showed reddish colourations occasionally with yellowish rays. Their colourations are attributed to reddish oxygen emission and its mixture with greenish oxygen emission. Overall, these archival records provide the references for future discussions on the auroral activities during the uniquely intense and extreme space weather events.

    DOI: 10.1002/GDJ3.140

    CiNii Research

  29. Analyses of historical solar eclipse records in Hokkaido Island in the 18-19th centuries Reviewed

    Hayakawa Hisashi, Soma Mitsuru, Daigo Ryuma

    PUBLICATIONS OF THE ASTRONOMICAL SOCIETY OF JAPAN   Vol. 74 ( 6 ) page: 1275 - 1286   2022.12

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    DOI: 10.1093/pasj/psac064

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  30. The extreme solar and geomagnetic storms on 1940 March 20-25 Reviewed International coauthorship

    Hayakawa Hisashi, Oliveira Denny M., Shea Margaret A., Smart Don F., Blake Sean P., Hattori Kentaro, Bhaskar Ankush T., Curto Juan J., Franco Daniel R., Ebihara Yusuke

    MONTHLY NOTICES OF THE ROYAL ASTRONOMICAL SOCIETY   Vol. 517 ( 2 ) page: 1709 - 1723   2022.10

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    In late 1940 March, at least five significant solar flares were reported. They likely launched interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs), and were associated with one of the largest storm sudden commencements (SSCs) since 1868, resulting in space weather hazards that would have significant societal impacts should it occur today. The initial solar activity is associated with a solar proton event. Afterwards, another flare was reported in the eastern solar quadrant (N12 E37-38) at 11:30-12:30 ut on March 23, with significant magnetic crochets (up to ≈ |80| nT at Eskdalemuir) during 11:07-11:40 ut. On their basis, we conservatively estimate the required energy flux of the source solar flare as X35 ± 1 in soft X-ray class. The resultant ICMEs caused enormous SSCs (up to >425 nT recorded at Tucson) and allowed us to estimate an extremely inward magnetopause position (estimated magnetopause stand-off position ≈3.4 RE). The time series of the resultant geomagnetic storm is reconstructed using a Dst estimate, which peaked at 20 ut on March 24 at ≈ -389 nT. Around the storm main phase, the equatorward boundary of the auroral oval extended ≤46.3° in invariant latitudes. This sequence also caused a solar proton event and Forbush decrease (≈3 per cent). These sequences indicate pile-up of multiple ICMEs, which even achieved a record value of inward magnetopause position. Our analyses of this historical pioneer event bring more insights into possible serious space weather hazards and provide a quantitative basis for future analyses and predictions.

    DOI: 10.1093/mnras/stab3615

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  31. Inference of magnetic field during the Dalton minimum: Case study with recorded sunspot areas Reviewed International coauthorship

    Uneme Shoma, Imada Shinsuke, Lee Harim, Park Eunsu, Hayakawa Hisashi, Iju Tomoya, Moon Yong-Jae

    PUBLICATIONS OF THE ASTRONOMICAL SOCIETY OF JAPAN   Vol. 74 ( 4 ) page: 767 - 776   2022.8

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    The Dalton minimum is considered to be one of the unique solar activity periods that have been captured in direct sunspot observations since 1610. Specifically, the solar magnetic field in this period is of great interest. Derfflinger and Prantner's sunspot observations of 1802-1824 and 1800-1844 are the most important references for this period. To understand the solar magnetic activity in the Dalton minimum, it is important to estimate the latitude/longitude distribution of the sunspots and the sunspot areas for that duration. In this study, we analyze Derfflinger and Prantner's sunspot drawings to determine the sunspot parameters, particularly the sunspot area. We find that the sunspot areas obtained from Derfflinger's drawings are overemphasized by a factor of eight relative to those derived from modern observations. We also analyze Prantner's sunspot drawings to validate our analysis of Derfflinger's drawings. Further, we generate solar magnetograms from Derfflinger's sunspot drawings using a deep-learning model based on conditional generative adversarial networks. Our analysis of these sunspot areas will provide important information for restoring the magnetograms during the Dalton minimum.

    DOI: 10.1093/pasj/psac032

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  32. Strong evidence of low levels of solar activity during the Maunder Minimum (vol 504, pg 5199, 2021) Reviewed International coauthorship

    Carrasco, VMS; Hayakawa, H; Kuroyanagi, C; Gallego, MC; Vaquero, JM

    MONTHLY NOTICES OF THE ROYAL ASTRONOMICAL SOCIETY   Vol. 512 ( 4 ) page: 5715 - 5716   2022.4

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    This is an erratum for our article Carrasco et al. ( 2021 ): 'Strong evidence of low levels of solar activity during the Maunder Minimum'. The error margins for the active day fraction of fig. 1 (bottom panel) were wrongly plotted. On the one hand, there were not error margins associated to the active day fraction for the years 1709-1715. On the other hand, the error margins represented with the active day fraction in the year range of 1652-1708 are not correct. For example, the error margin plotted with the active day fraction of 1708 were actually the error margins calculated for 1715, those plotted with the active day fraction of 1707 are in fact the error margins of 1714 and so on. This mistake does not hav e an y impacts on the remaining calculations in this article. Here, we pro vide an update of Fig. 1 with corrected error margins. DATA AVAILABILITY STATEMENT Data used in this work on the number of groups recorded by any observer during the Maunder Minimum is available through Vaquero et al. ( 2016 ) and, in particular, those from from the Eimmart archives including Johann Heinrich M üller's observations are available through Hayakawa et al. ( 2021 ). The annual values of the international sunspot number index (version 2) are available on the website of the Sunspot Index and Long-term Solar Observations ( http://www.sidc.be/silso/). (Figure presented).

    DOI: 10.1093/mnras/stac901

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  33. A review for Japanese auroral records on the three extreme space weather events around the International Geophysical Year (1957–1958) Reviewed

    Hayakawa H., Ebihara Y., Hata H.

    Geoscience Data Journal     2022.3

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    DOI: 10.1002/gdj3.140

    DOI: 10.1002/gdj3.140

    Scopus

    Other Link: https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/gdj3.140

  34. Analyses of a datable solar eclipse record in Maya Classic period monumental inscriptions Reviewed International coauthorship

    Hayakawa Hisashi, Soma Misturu, Kinsman J. Hutch

    PUBLICATIONS OF THE ASTRONOMICAL SOCIETY OF JAPAN   Vol. 73 ( 6 ) page: L31 - L36   2021.12

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    Authorship:Lead author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.1093/pasj/psab088

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  35. Analyses of Early Sunspot Records by Jean Tarde (1615-1617) and Jan Smogulecki (1621-1625) Reviewed

    Carrasco V. M. S., Gallego M. C., Alvarez J. Villalba, Vaquero J. M., Hayakawa H.

    SOLAR PHYSICS   Vol. 296 ( 11 )   2021.11

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    DOI: 10.1007/s11207-021-01905-2

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  36. Johann Christoph Müller’s Sunspot Observations in 1719 – 1720: Snapshots of the Immediate Aftermath of the Maunder Minimum Reviewed International coauthorship

    Hayakawa, H., Iju, T., Kuroyanagi, C., Carrasco, V. M. S., Besser, B. P., Uneme, S., Imada, S.

    SOLAR PHYSICS   Vol. 296 ( 154 )   2021.10

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    DOI: 10.1007/s11207-021-01880-8

    DOI: 10.1007/s11207-021-01880-8

  37. The extreme space weather events in October 1788 Reviewed

    Hattori Kentaro, Hayakawa Hisashi, Ebihara Yusuke

    PUBLICATIONS OF THE ASTRONOMICAL SOCIETY OF JAPAN   Vol. 73 ( 5 ) page: 1367 - 1374   2021.10

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    DOI: 10.1093/pasj/psab079

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  38. Reanalyses of the sunspot observations of Fogelius and Siverus: two 'long-term' observers during the Maunder minimum Reviewed International coauthorship

    MONTHLY NOTICES OF THE ROYAL ASTRONOMICAL SOCIETY   Vol. 506 ( 1 ) page: 650 - 658   2021.9

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    DOI: 10.1093/mnras/staa2965

    DOI: 10.1093/mnras/staa2965

    Web of Science

  39. The extreme space weather events in October 1788 Reviewed

    Hattori, K., Hayakawa, H., Ebihara, Y.

    Publications of the Astronomical Society of Japan   Vol. 73   page: 1367 - 1374   2021.8

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  40. PSTEP: project for solar-terrestrial environment prediction Invited Reviewed International coauthorship

    Kusano, Kanya; Ichimoto, Kiyoshi; Ishii, Mamoru; Miyoshi, Yoshizumi; Yoden, Shigeo; Akiyoshi, Hideharu; Asai, Ayumi; Ebihara, Yusuke; Fujiwara, Hitoshi; Goto, Tada-Nori; Hanaoka, Yoichiro; Hayakawa, Hisashi; Hosokawa, Keisuke; Hotta, Hideyuki; Hozumi, Kornyanat; Imada, Shinsuke; Iwai, Kazumasa; Iyemori, Toshihiko; Jin, Hidekatsu; Kataoka, Ryuho; Katoh, Yuto; Kikuchi, Takashi; Kubo, Yûki; Kurita, Satoshi; Matsumoto, Haruhisa; Mitani, Takefumi; Miyahara, Hiroko; Miyoshi, Yasunobu; Nagatsuma, Tsutomu; Nakamizo, Aoi; Nakamura, Satoko; Nakata, Hiroyuki; Nishizuka, Naoto; Otsuka, Yuichi; Saito, Shinji; Saito, Susumu; Sakurai, Takashi; Sato, Tatsuhiko; Shimizu, Toshifumi; Shinagawa, Hiroyuki; Shiokawa, Kazuo; Shiota, Daikou; Takashima, Takeshi; Tao, Chihiro; Toriumi, Shin; Ueno, Satoru; Watanabe, Kyoko; Watari, Shinichi; Yashiro, Seiji; Yoshida, Kohei; Yoshikawa, Akimasa

    Earth, Planets and Space   Vol. 73   page: 159   2021.8

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    DOI: 10.1186/s40623-021-01486-1

    DOI: 10.1186/s40623-021-01486-1

  41. Strong evidence of low levels of solar activity during the Maunder Minimum Reviewed International coauthorship

    Carrasco, V. M. S., Hayakawa, H., Kuroyanagi, C., Gallego, M. C., Vaquero, J. M.

    Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society     2021.5

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    DOI: 10.1093/mnras/stab1155

    DOI: 10.1093/mnras/stab1155

  42. Timelines as a tool for learning about space weather storms Invited Reviewed International coauthorship

    Knipp, D. J., Bernstein, V., Wahl, K., Hayakawa, H.

    Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate   Vol. 11   page: 29 - 29   2021.4

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    DOI: 10.1051/swsc/2021011

    DOI: 10.1051/swsc/2021011

  43. The intensity and evolution of the extreme storms in 1938 January Reviewed International coauthorship

    Hayakawa, H., Hattori, K., Pevtsov, A. A., Ebihara, Y., Shea, M. A., McCracken, K. G., Daglis, I. A., Bhaskar, A., Ribeiro, P., Knipp, D. J.

    Astrophysical Journal   Vol. 909   page: 197   2021.3

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    DOI: 10.3847/1538-4357/abc427

    DOI: 10.3847/1538-4357/abc427

  44. Three Case Reports on the Cometary Plasma Tail in the Historical Documents Reviewed

    Hayakawa, H., Fujii, Y. I., Murata, K., Mitsuma, Y., Cheng, Y., Nogami, N., Ichikawa, K., Sano, H., Tsumura, K., Kawamoto, Y., Nishino, M. N.

    Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate   Vol. 11   page: 21   2021.3

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    Authorship:Lead author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.1051/swsc/2020045

    DOI: 10.1051/swsc/2020045

  45. Candidate Auroral Observations Indicating a Major Solar–Terrestrial Storm in 1680: Implication for Space Weather Events during the Maunder Minimum Reviewed International coauthorship

    Hayakawa, H., Schlegel, K., Besser, B. P., Ebihara, Y.

    Astrophysical Journal   Vol. 909   page: 29   2021.3

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    Authorship:Lead author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.3847/1538-4357/abb3c2

    DOI: 10.3847/1538-4357/abb3c2

  46. Sunspot Observations at the Eimmart Observatory and its Neighbourhood during the Late Maunder Minimum (1681 – 1718) Reviewed International coauthorship

    Hayakawa, H., Kuroyanagi, C., Carrasco, V. M. S., Uneme, S., Besser, B. P., Sôma, M., Imada, S.

    Astrophysical Journal   Vol. 909   page: 166   2021.3

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    DOI: 10.3847/1538-4357/abd949

    DOI: 10.3847/1538-4357/abd949

  47. Daniel Mögling's sunspot observations in 1626 - 1629: A manuscript reference for the solar activity before the Maunder Minimum Reviewed International coauthorship

    Hayakawa, H., Iju, T., Murata, K., Besser, B. P.

    Astrophysical Journal   Vol. 909   page: 194   2021.3

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    Authorship:Lead author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.3847/1538-4357/abdd34

    DOI: 10.3847/1538-4357/abdd34

  48. Graphical evidence for the solar coronal structure during the Maunder minimum: Comparative study of the total eclipse drawings in 1706 and 1715 Reviewed International coauthorship

    Hayakawa H. Lockwood, M., Owens, M. J., Sôma, M., Besser, B. P., van Driel, L.

    Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate   Vol. 11   page: 1   2021.2

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    Authorship:Lead author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.1051/swsc/2020035

    Scopus

  49. The Extreme Space Weather Event in 1941 February/March Reviewed International coauthorship

    Hayakawa, H., Blake, S. P., Bhaskar, A., Hattori, K., Oliveira, D. M., Ebihara, Y.

    Astrophysical Journal   Vol. 908   page: 209   2021.2

     More details

    Authorship:Lead author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.3847/1538-4357/abb772

    DOI: 10.3847/1538-4357/abb772

  50. The Dalton Minimum and John Dalton’s Auroral Observations Reviewed International coauthorship

    Silverman, S. M., Hayakawa, H.

    Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate   Vol. 11   page: 17   2021.2

     More details

    Authorship:Last author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.1051/swsc/2020082

    DOI: 10.1051/swsc/2020082

  51. Cometary records revise Eastern Mediterranean chronology around 1240 CE Reviewed

    Murata, K., Ichikawa, K., Fujii, Y. I., Hayakawa, H., Cheng, Y., Kawamoto, Y., Sano, H.

    Publications of the Astronomical Society of Japan   Vol. 73   page: 197 - 204   2021.1

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    Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.1093/pasj/psaa114

    DOI: 10.1093/pasj/psaa114

  52. [研究活動]研究トピックス : 歴史文献とアナログ観測記録に見る宇宙天気現象と太陽活動 Invited

    早川 尚志

    京都大学大学院理学研究科附属天文台年次報告   Vol. 2019年(令和元年)   page: 20 - 21   2021.1

     More details

    Language:Japanese   Publisher:京都大学大学院理学研究科附属天文台  

    CiNii Research

  53. On the Size of the Flare Associated with the Solar Proton Event in 774 AD Reviewed International coauthorship

    ASTROPHYSICAL JOURNAL   Vol. 903   page: 41   2020.11

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    Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.3847/1538-4357/abad93

    Web of Science

    Scopus

  54. Estimating Satellite Orbital Drag During Historical Magnetic Superstorms Reviewed International coauthorship

    Oliveira Denny M., Zesta Eftyhia, Hayakawa Hisashi, Bhaskar Ankush

    SPACE WEATHER-THE INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF RESEARCH AND APPLICATIONS   Vol. 18 ( 11 ) page: e2020SW002472   2020.11

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    Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.1029/2020SW002472

    Web of Science

    Scopus

  55. Intensity and time series of extreme solar-terrestrial storm in 1946 March Reviewed International coauthorship

    Hayakawa Hisashi, Ebihara Yusuke, Pevtsov Alexei A., Bhaskar Ankush, Karachik Nina, Oliveira Denny M.

    MONTHLY NOTICES OF THE ROYAL ASTRONOMICAL SOCIETY   Vol. 497 ( 4 ) page: 5507 - 5517   2020.10

     More details

    Authorship:Lead author, Last author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.1093/mnras/staa1508

    Web of Science

    Scopus

  56. An Analysis of Trouvelot's Auroral Drawing on 1/2 March 1872: Plausible Evidence for Recurrent Geomagnetic Storms Reviewed International coauthorship

    Bhaskar Ankush, Hayakawa Hisashi, Oliveira Denny M., Blake Sean, Silverman Sam M., Ebihara Yusuke

    JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-SPACE PHYSICS   Vol. 125 ( 10 ) page: e2020JA028227   2020.10

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    Authorship:Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.1029/2020JA028227

    Web of Science

    Scopus

  57. The Solar Corona during the Total Eclipse on 1806 June 16: Graphical Evidence of the Coronal Structure during the Dalton Minimum Reviewed International coauthorship

    Hayakawa Hisashi, Owens Mathew J., Lockwood Michael, Soma Mitsuru

    ASTROPHYSICAL JOURNAL   Vol. 900   page: 114   2020.9

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    Authorship:Lead author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.3847/1538-4357/ab9807

    Web of Science

    Scopus

  58. South American auroral reports during the Carrington storm Reviewed International coauthorship

    Hayakawa Hisashi, Ribeiro Jose R., Ebihara Yusuke, Correia Ana P., Soma Mitsuru

    EARTH PLANETS AND SPACE   Vol. 72   page: 122   2020.8

     More details

    Authorship:Lead author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.1186/s40623-020-01249-4

    Web of Science

    Scopus

  59. A possible case of sporadic aurora observed at Rio de Janeiro Reviewed International coauthorship

    Oliveira Denny M., Hayakawa Hisashi, Bhaskar Ankush, Zesta Eftyhia, Vichare Geeta

    EARTH PLANETS AND SPACE   Vol. 72   page: 82   2020.6

     More details

    Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.1186/s40623-020-01208-z

    Web of Science

    Scopus

  60. Provenance of the cross sign of 806 in the Anglo-Saxon Chronicle: a possible lunar halo over continental Europe? International coauthorship

    Uchikawa Yuta, Cowley Les, Hayakawa Hisashi, Willis David M., Stephenson F. Richard

    HISTORY OF GEO- AND SPACE SCIENCES   Vol. 11 ( 1 ) page: 81 - 92   2020.4

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    Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.5194/hgss-11-81-2020

    Web of Science

    Scopus

  61. Sunspot Observations by Hisako Koyama: 1945 – 1996 Reviewed International coauthorship

    Hayakawa, H., Clette, F., Horaguchi, T., Iju, T., Knipp, D. J., Liu, H., Nakajima, T.

    Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society   Vol. 492   page: 4513 - 4527   2020.3

     More details

    Authorship:Lead author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.1093/mnras/stz3345

  62. What Can Be Learned from Modern Data?

    Kusano K., Cliver E., Hayakawa H., Kovaltsov G. A., Usoskin I. G.

    EXTREME SOLAR PARTICLE STORMS: THE HOSTILE SUN     2020

  63. Further Search for Extreme Events

    Miyake F., Ebihara Y., Hayakawa H., Maehara H., Mitsuma Y., Usoskin I., Wang F., Willis D. M.

    EXTREME SOLAR PARTICLE STORMS: THE HOSTILE SUN     2020

  64. Characterization of the Measured Events

    Cliver E., Ebihara Y., Hayakawa H., Jull T., Mekhaldi F., Miyake F., Muscheler R.

    EXTREME SOLAR PARTICLE STORMS: THE HOSTILE SUN     2020

  65. The Earliest Candidates of Auroral Observations in Assyrian Astrological Reports: Insights on Solar Activity around 660 BCE Reviewed International coauthorship

    Hayakawa Hisashi, Mitsuma Yasuyuki, Ebihara Yusuke, Miyake Fusa

    ASTROPHYSICAL JOURNAL LETTERS   Vol. 884   page: L18   2019.10

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    Authorship:Lead author, Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.3847/2041-8213/ab42e4

    Web of Science

    Scopus

  66. A Transit of Venus Possibly Misinterpreted as an Unaided-Eye Sunspot Observation in China on 9 December 1874

    Hayakawa Hisashi, Soma Mitsuru, Tanikawa Kiyotaka, Willis David M., Wild Matthew N., Macdonald Lee T., Imada Shinsuke, Hattori Kentaro, Stephenson F. Richard

    SOLAR PHYSICS   Vol. 294 ( 9 )   2019.9

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    Publisher:Solar Physics  

    DOI: 10.1007/s11207-019-1504-9

    Web of Science

    Scopus

  67. Revisiting Kunitomo's Sunspot Drawings During 1835-1836 in Japan

    Fujiyama Masashi, Hayakawa Hisashi, Iju Tomoya, Kawai Toshiki, Toriumi Shin, Otsuji Kenichi, Kondo Katsuya, Watanabe Yusaku, Nozawa Satoshi, Imada Shinsuke

    SOLAR PHYSICS   Vol. 294 ( 4 )   2019.4

     More details

    Publisher:Solar Physics  

    DOI: 10.1007/s11207-019-1429-3

    Web of Science

    Scopus

  68. The extreme space weather event in September 1909

    Hayakawa Hisashi, Ebihara Yusuke, Cliver Edward W., Hattori Kentaro, Toriumi Shin, Love Jeffrey J., Umemura Norio, Namekata Kosuke, Sakaue Takahito, Takahashi Takuya, Shibata Kazunari

    MONTHLY NOTICES OF THE ROYAL ASTRONOMICAL SOCIETY   Vol. 484 ( 3 ) page: 4083 - 4099   2019.4

     More details

    Publisher:Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society  

    DOI: 10.1093/mnras/sty3196

    Web of Science

    Scopus

  69. Sunspot drawings by Japanese official astronomers in 1749-1750

    Hayakawa Hisashi, Iwahashi Kiyomi, Fujiyama Masashi, Kawai Toshiki, Toriumi Shin, Hotta Hideyuki, Iijima Haruhisa, Imada Shinsuke, Tamazawa Harufumi, Shibata Kazunari

    PUBLICATIONS OF THE ASTRONOMICAL SOCIETY OF JAPAN   Vol. 70 ( 4 )   2018.8

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    Publisher:Publications of the Astronomical Society of Japan  

    DOI: 10.1093/pasj/psy066

    Web of Science

    Scopus

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Books 3

  1. 小樽学:港町から地域を考える

    醍醐龍馬( Role: Contributor ,  第10章、コラム8)

    日本経済評論社  2023.3 

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    Language:Japanese Book type:General book, introductory book for general audience

  2. Solar-Terrestrial Environmental Prediction International journal

    Kanya Kusano( Role: Contributor ,  Explorations of Extreme Space Weather Events from Stellar Observations and Archival Investigations)

    Springer  2023.2 

     More details

    Total pages:462   Responsible for pages:327-376   Language:English Book type:Scholarly book

    DOI: 10.1007/978-981-19-7765-7

  3. Extreme Solar Particle Storms The hostile Sun International journal

    ( Role: Contributor)

    IOP   2019.12 

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    Language:English Book type:Scholarly book

    DOI: https://doi.org/10.1088/2514-3433/ab404a

Presentations 24

  1. Revisiting Carrington space weather event with archival investigations Invited International conference

    Hisashi Hayakawa

    Space Climate 8  2022.9.19  Space Climate

     More details

    Event date: 2022.9

    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (invited, special)  

    Venue:Krakow   Country:Poland  

  2. Preliminary Archival Analyses for the Solar-Terrestrial Superstorm in February 1872 Invited International conference

    Hisashi Hayakawa

    Asia Oceania Geosciences Society 2022  2022.8.4  Asia Oceania Geosciences Society

     More details

    Event date: 2022.8

    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (invited, special)  

    Venue:Online  

  3. Historical Auroral Displays and Millennial Space-Weather History Invited International conference

    Hisashi Hayakawa

    COSPAR 2022  2022.7.20  COSPAR & Athens Observatory

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    Event date: 2022.7

    Language:English   Presentation type:Public lecture, seminar, tutorial, course, or other speech  

    Venue:Athens   Country:Greece  

  4. An overview of the historical space climate, as seen from the historical archives and classics Invited International conference

    Hisashi Hayakawa

    EGU GIFT Workshop  2022.4.5  European Geosciences Union

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    Event date: 2022.4

    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (invited, special)  

    Venue:Online  

  5. Extreme space weather events in the observational history: the Carrington event and others Invited International conference

    Hisashi Hayakawa, Yusuke Ebihara, & Kentaro Hattori

    Asia Oceania Geosciences Society 2021  2021.8.3 

     More details

    Event date: 2021.8

    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (invited, special)  

    Venue:virtual  

  6. 歴史文献から見る過去の太陽嵐 Invited

    早川尚志

    第29回NPO法人花山星空ネットワーク講演会  2022.12.4  NPO法人花山星空ネットワーク

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    Event date: 2022.12

    Language:Japanese   Presentation type:Public lecture, seminar, tutorial, course, or other speech  

    Venue:オンライン  

  7. 黒点数再較正と信州黒点観測記録群

    早川尚志

    シンポジウム「長野県は宇宙県」の天文史100年と市民科学」  2022.11.18  国語研

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    Event date: 2022.11

    Language:Japanese   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:諏訪   Country:Japan  

  8. Archival Reanalyses for the Carrington event: Case Studies International conference

    Hisashi Hayakawa

    ISEE Symposium 2022  2022.11.15  ISEE, Nagoya University

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    Event date: 2022.11

    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:Nagoya   Country:Japan  

  9. Archival Reanalyses of the Carrington event in 1859 International conference

    Hisashi Hayakawa

    European Space Weather Week 2022  2022.10.27 

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    Event date: 2022.10

    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:Zagreb  

  10. The general crisis in the 17th century: a viewpoint of the solar-terrestrial environment International conference

    Hisashi Hayakawa

    Asian Association of World Histories 2022  2022.10.13  Asian Association of World Histories

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    Event date: 2022.10

    Language:English   Presentation type:Symposium, workshop panel (public)  

    Venue:New Delhi   Country:India  

  11. The extreme solar storms in the past: several case studies for January 1938 and September 1859 Invited International conference

    Hisashi Hayakawa

    EU Safe Space 2022  2022.7.17  Athens Observatory

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    Event date: 2022.7

    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (invited, special)  

    Venue:Athens   Country:Greece  

  12. Archival snapshots of the Maunder Minimum in the Eimmart Collections International conference

    Hisashi Hayakawa

    COSPAR 2022  2022.7.19  COSPAR

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    Event date: 2022.7

    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:Athens   Country:Greece  

  13. ニュートン書簡集とマウンダー極小期―18世紀初頭の太陽地球環境変動の事例研究 Invited

    早川尚志

    日本科学史学会   2022.5.29 

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    Event date: 2022.5

    Language:Japanese   Presentation type:Oral presentation (invited, special)  

    Venue:オンライン  

  14. A brief overview on the archival investigations for the historical solar storms: past, present, and future International conference

    Hisashi Hayakawa

    Extreme solar particle storms at Earth  2022.3.28  The University of Oulu

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    Event date: 2022.3

    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:Rokua   Country:Finland  

  15. 歴史文献による過去3000年間の激甚太陽嵐の調査と定量復元

    早川尚志

    『知の開拓者』コンソーシアム総会  2022.3.7 

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    Event date: 2022.3

    Language:Japanese   Presentation type:Symposium, workshop panel (nominated)  

  16. 過去の観測記録から復元する1940年3月の激甚宇宙天気現象

    早川尚志

    日本天文学会 2022春  2022.3.2 

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    Event date: 2022.3

    Language:Japanese   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:広島大学  

  17. Historical observations of intensities and time series of the extreme space weather events in the 1940s International coauthorship International conference

    Hisashi Hayakawa, Alexei A. Pevtsov, Denny M. Oliveira, Seán P. Blake, Kentaro Hattori, Ankush T. Bhaskar, Nina Karachik, and Yusuke Ebihara

    SCOSTEP's 15th Quadrennial Solar-Terrestrial Physics Symposium  2022.2.25 

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    Event date: 2022.2

    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Country:India  

  18. Archival investigations of extreme space weather events with the historical documents International conference

    Hisashi Hayakawa

    ISSI 2021, Solar Extreme Events: Setting Up a Paradigm  2021.9.30 

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    Event date: 2021.9 - 2021.10

    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (invited, special)  

  19. オーストリアの修道院文献から復元するダルトン極小期の太陽活動

    Hisashi Hayakawa, Tomoya Iju, Shinsuke Imada

    日本天文学会 2021秋  2021.9.13 

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    Event date: 2021.9

    Language:Japanese   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:京都産業大学  

  20. Analyses of the Extreme Solar and Geomagnetic Storms in March 1940 International coauthorship International conference

    Hisashi Hayakawa*, Denny M. Oliveira, Margaret A. Shea, Don F. Smart, Seán P. Blake, Kentaro Hattori, Ankush T. Bhaskar, Juan J. Curto, Daniel R. Franco, and Yusuke Ebihara

    Joint Scientific Assembly IAGA-IASPEI 2021  2021.8.23 

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    Event date: 2021.8

    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:virtual  

  21. 過去1.8世紀の歴史的アナログ記録に基づく激甚磁気嵐の規模推定の事例研究 Invited

    早川尚志、海老原祐輔、服部健太郎

    地球電磁気・地球惑星圏学会  2020.11.4 

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    Language:Japanese   Presentation type:Oral presentation (invited, special)  

  22. The solar activity in the Dalton Minimum, as reconstructed from the Austrian monasterial documents

    Hayakawa, H., Iju, T., Imada, S.

    Astronomical Society of Japan  2021.9.13 

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    Language:Japanese   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

  23. Analyses of the Extreme Solar and Geomagnetic Storms in March 1940 International coauthorship International conference

    Hayakawa, H., Oliveira, D. M., Shea, M. A., Smart, D. F., Blake, S. P., Hattori, K., Bhaskar, A. T., Curto, J. J., Franco, D. R., Ebihara, Y.

    IAGA-IASPEI Assembly 2021  2021.8.23 

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    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

  24. Extreme space weather events in the observational history: the Carrington event and others Invited

    Hayakawa, H., Ebihara, Y., Hattori, K.

    Asia Oceania Geosciences Society 2021  2021.8.3 

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    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (invited, special)  

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Research Project for Joint Research, Competitive Funding, etc. 2

  1. Feasibility researches on the quantitative environmental history: a case study for the crisis of the 17th-century and its comparison

    2020.9 - 2021.3

      More details

    Authorship:Principal investigator  Grant type:Competitive

    Grant amount:\1500000

  2. アナログ観測記録・歴史文献に基づく過去の太陽活動と宇宙天気の復元

    2020.8 - 2021.3

    京都大学  生存圏科学 ミッション研究 

      More details

    Authorship:Principal investigator  Grant type:Competitive

    Grant amount:\560000

KAKENHI (Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research) 4

  1. 同時代黒点観測の歴史的文書に基づくダルトン極小期復元の試験的検討

    Grant number:21K13957  2021.4 - 2024.3

    科学研究費助成事業  若手研究

    早川 尚志

      More details

    Authorship:Principal investigator 

    Grant amount:\4550000 ( Direct Cost: \3500000 、 Indirect Cost:\1050000 )

    19世紀前半の太陽活動は例外的に静穏で、「ダルトン極小期」と呼称される。しかしこの頃の太陽活動の直接観測については、記録自体が歴史文献に記録され、その分析に太陽物理学のみならず歴史学・文献学の知見を要するため、必ずしも定量的復元が十全に行われているとは言い難い。そこで、本研究では、実際に当時の観測記録を複写、歴史学・文献学的に記述を解読し、現代太陽物理学の知見を適用して、当時の太陽活動を黒点数、黒点分布の試験的復元を行い、長期の地磁気変動と比較する。この時期のデータを過去410年の観測記録と比較し、ダルトン極小期の太陽活動の観測記録を現代科学観測の知見とどこまで定量的に比較できるか検証する。

  2. 多核種分析による完新世の極端太陽現象の頻度と規模解明

    Grant number:20H00173  2020.4 - 2021.3

    科学研究費助成事業  基盤研究(A)

    三宅 芙沙, 堀内 一穂, 宮原 ひろ子, 笹 公和, 箱崎 真隆, 前原 裕之, 木村 勝彦, 門叶 冬樹, 早川 尚志

      More details

    Authorship:Coinvestigator(s) 

    樹木年輪の14Cや氷床コアの10Be、36Clといった宇宙線生成核種は、観測史上最大とされ
    る1956年のSEP(Solar Energetic Particle)イベントの数十倍という過去の超巨大SEPイ
    ベントの優れた代替データである。本研究は、主に年輪の14C分析から、完新世(
    過去1万2千年間)における最大のSEPイベントの同定と、超巨大SEPイベントの発生頻度及
    びその発生特性の解明を目的とする。我々の太陽における発生特性を、太陽型恒星の恒星
    フレアと比較することで、太陽型恒星における太陽の普遍性と特殊性を評価する。
    樹木年輪の炭素14や氷床コアのベリリウム10、塩素36といった宇宙線生成核種は、直接観測で見つかっている最大のSEP(Solar Energetic Particle)イベントの数十倍という過去の超巨大SEPイベントの優れた代替データである。これまでに我々の宇宙線生成核種の分析から、775年や994年などの超巨大SEPイベントの痕跡を発見した(Miyake et al. 2012, 2013)。これは、我々の太陽でスーパーフレアが発生した可能性を示すだけでなく、現代社会に甚大な影響を与え得る極端太陽現象が将来発生する可能性を示すものである。本研究は、宇宙線生成核種の分析から、完新世(過去1万2千年間)における最大のSEPイベントの同定と、超巨大SEPイベントの発生頻度及びその発生特性の解明を目的とする。
    今年度は、長期的な樹木年輪の炭素14分析を実施するために、樹木試料の手配(日本、フィンランド、カリフォルニア産の樹木サンプル)や、試料調製装置(木片試料からグラファイト試料の抽出)の性能チェック、さらに分析に必要な環境作りを行った。また、SEPイベントのエネルギースペクトルを評価する上で要となる塩素36の(南極ドームふじ氷床コア)分析を行った。さらに、トラバーチン堆積物のベリリウム10データに過去の大規模SEPイベントがみられるか調査する足掛かりとして、トラバーチン分析を行うための環境整備を行った。
    令和2年度が最終年度であるため、記入しない。
    令和2年度が最終年度であるため、記入しない。

  3. Cultural Astronomy of "Astro-Nagano" Project from the viewpoint of Citizen Science

    Grant number:22K02956  2022.4 - 2025.3

    Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research  Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

      More details

    Authorship:Coinvestigator(s) 

  4. A preliminary study for magnitude estimates and quantitative comparisons of the extreme space weather events based on the early modern analog observational records

    Grant number:20K22367  2020.9 - 2022.3

    JSPS 

      More details

    Authorship:Principal investigator  Grant type:Competitive

    Grant amount:\2860000 ( Direct Cost: \2200000 、 Indirect Cost:\660000 )

 

Teaching Experience (Off-campus) 3

  1. 人文学概論

    2021.1 Osaka University)

  2. 交流史研究A

    2020.4 - 2020.9 Daito Bunka University)

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    Level:Undergraduate (specialized) 

  3. 比較文明論演習A

    2020.4 - 2020.9 Daito Bunka University)

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    Level:Undergraduate (specialized) 

 

Media Coverage 11

  1. 赤いオーロラ~幻の夜空がよみがえる TV or radio program

    NHK総合 北海道道  NHK  2022.11

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    Author:Other 

  2. ナゾの巨大爆発 スーパーフレア TV or radio program

    NHKコズミックフロント  NHK  https://www.nhk.jp/p/cosmic/ts/WXVJVPGLNZ/episode/te/99N2J99R2Q/  2022.5

  3. BBC Sky at Night, Stars: A Matter of Life and Death TV or radio program

    BBC  BBC  Interview; https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m000kxjy  2020.7

  4. Astronomers use Byzantine chronicles to learn about the Earth’s rotation Internet

    Medievalists.net  Medievalists.net  https://www.medievalists.net/2022/09/byzantine-chronicles-earths-rotation/  2022.9

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    Author:Other 

  5. Scientists study Earth's rotation changes through Byzantine eclipses Newspaper, magazine

    The Jerusalem Post  The Jerusalem Post  https://www.jpost.com/science/article-717565  2022.9

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    Author:Other 

  6. The Northern Lights: A History of Aurora Sightings Newspaper, magazine

    The Discover Magazine  The Discover Magazine  https://www.discovermagazine.com/planet-earth/the-northern-lights-a-history-of-aurora-sightings  2022.5

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    Author:Other 

  7. Earliest documented aurora found in ancient Chinese text Internet

    Live Science  Live Science  https://www.livescience.com/oldest-description-candidate-aurora  2022.4

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    Author:Other 

  8. 中國歷史文獻發現最早的極光記載 Newspaper, magazine

    科技新報  科技新報  2022.4

  9. Scientists find oldest description of an aurora, or northern lights, in ancient Chinese texts

    South China Morning Post  South China Morning Post  https://www.scmp.com/news/people-culture/article/3174425/scientists-find-oldest-description-aurora-or-northern-lights  2022.4

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    Author:Other 

  10. Scientists find earliest record of aurora in ancient Chinese chronicle Newspaper, magazine

    Independent  Independent  https://www.independent.co.uk/space/aurora-earliest-record-ancient-china-b2056947.html  2022.4

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    Author:Other 

  11. 巨木の年輪に刻まれた太陽の異変

    日経サイエンス  日経サイエンス  巨木の年輪に刻まれた太陽の異変  2022.4

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    Author:Other 

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